Strong Argument:
"Every time I drink an alcoholic beverage, my face turns red, and I get itchy hives all over my body. Therefore, I must be allergic to alcohol."
This is a strong argument, because when a person is allergic to something, one tends to get itchy red bumps over one's body or get a puffy skin reaction to it, along with shortness of breath, or all the above. Since, I get an itchy red bump reaction, along with a shortness of breath when I drink alcohol, then the result must be that I have an allergic reaction towards it. But, at the same time, the conclusion of my statement can be false, since it might not bey an allergic reaction, but an reaction due to my body weight and how much alcohol I can intake, and how fast it is absorb into my system.
Valid Argument:
"When you go to an amusement park such as Great America or Six Flags, you have to pay for an entrance fee. John is in the amusement park, therefore, he must have paid an entrance fee.
This a valid argument, because amusement parks such as Great America or Six Flags do require an entrance fee to spend a day in their park. Hence, it is a true premise.
A valid argument, is where the premises (a premises - is a proposition upon which an argument is based on or from which a conclusion is made) is true, and no chance of it having a false conclusion. If it has a true premise and a false conclusion to it, then it is most likely an invalid argument. Whereas, a Strong Argument, may have a true premise but it can have a possible false conclusion.
I'm not sure if I am being too technical on this one, but for your valid argument example, wouldn't it be more like a strong argument? It's possible that John is in the amusement park because he works at one of the concession stands or perhaps he is a maintenance guys for the rides. In that case, he would not have to pay an entrance fee. I think that'd be more like a strong argument because in Epstein's text, he defines it as, "An argument is strong if there is some way, some possibility, for its premises to be true and its conclusion false (at the same time), but every such possibility is extremely unlikely" (40).
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